Super Bowl XLIV: From A to Z

Super Bowl XLIV: From A to Z

The Super Bowl is just days away and its only a matter of time before the Colts and the Saints take the field for what good be one of the best games in Super Bowl history! With every angle covered its time for a last minute look of the people, places and events that will lead up to super bowl XLIV from A to Z.

A is for Advertisements: advertisers can attract up to 100 million pairs of eyes — from a cross-section of demographics — which makes paying the reported price of $2.5 million to $2.8 million for each 30 seconds a bargain. Plus, that’s less than NBC’s $3 million price tag last year.

B is for Betting: The Super bowl is the most bet on sporting event in the world. The Top Ten Online sportsbooks are giving out great bonuses to get your business for the big game. Just Bet.com is offering a 70% sign up bonus and Bet Jamaica and Diamond Sportsbook is offering a $100 free play when you deposit $100.

C is for Coin Toss: Of the 43 coin tosses in Super Bowl history, 22 coins have come up heads, 21 tails. The odds, then, that the coin will come up heads are 1 in 1.95, while the odds the coin will come up tails are 1 in 2.05. One of the most popular betting props at Bet Phoenix is betting on the results of the coin toss.

D is for Dwight Freeney: The injury to the star defensive end has been the biggest news of the week, but there should be no mystery around this one as Freeney will play in the big game.

E is for E*Trade Baby: Commercials are always part of the fun during the Super bowl and the recent star of Super bow ads, is the E*Trade baby. The good news is he is back again for another year and will have a spot in the first quarter. The baby is new but the results are still funny.

F is for F.B.I.: This is such a huge security threat that this event will be highly protected. The FBI is running the Joint Operations Center, which houses in one place more than 200 representatives from about 68 federal, state and local agencies that are responsible for security and responding to any threats. F-16’s and dogs will be used too.

G is for Gridiron Celebrity Hoops XII: It’s where NFL players, streetballers, champion boxers, professional wrestlers, models, and other celebrities get together for a high-profile game of hoops to highlight the importance of “fostering hope, fostering care, and inspiring infinite possibilities” for abused, abandoned, and neglected children from Juli’s Kids Motivated to Succeed.

H is for Halftime Show: The Who will highlight this year’s halftime show. With all due respect to this great band isn’t it time to trust someone to play at halftime that is a bit more recent?

I is for Injuries: Contrary to public reports this week from the media, Dwight Freeney is not the only injured football player coming into Super bowl XLIV. There is actually a long list.

J is for Janet Jackson: It seems like it was decades ago since the Janet Jackson incident made the term “wardrobe malfunction” a household favorite. I think its time to give her another chance, of course watching it again is always fun.

You can Bet you will see alot of Kim Kardashian on Sunday

K is for Kim Kardashian: Can you guess how many times that Kim’s name will be mentioned during the broadcast? She may be the most popular person not playing in the game on Sunday. She gave her pick, can you guess who it is?

L is for Louisiana: It may be over played for some but I don’t think the recovery of this state or the city of New Orleans can be talked about enough. It’s about time this was talked about in a positive light and not a negative spin.

M is for Mr. Irrelevant: Special teams player Marty Moore became the first Mr. Irrelevant to play in a Super Bowl, with the New England Patriots in Super Bowl XXXI.

N is for National Holiday: Think the Monday after the Super bowl should be a national holiday? You’re not alone. There is a grass-roots political campaign dedicated to making Super Bowl Sunday a new National Holiday, with observation on Monday following the big game.

O is for overtime: No Super Bowl game has ever gone into overtime play. The closest instances to overtime play were in Super Bowl V, Super Bowl XXXIV, Super Bowl XXXVI, and Super Bowl XXXVIII. This game would be perfect for it.

P is for Prop Bet: The proposition bet is the most popular bet in the Super Bowl. You can choose from a wide variety as some sportsbooks like Sportsbook.com offers over 300+. Here are my Top Ten Prop Bets for Sunday.

Q is for Quarterbacks: over the 43 years of Super bowl history the quarterback has been named the MVP 22 times and with the two on the field for Sunday there is a good chance that one of them may win the hardware again.

R is for rushing the ball: The team that has rushed the ball more times in the Super Bowl has posted that very impressive 37-4 SU record (note that there were two Super Bowls in which both teams had the same number of rushes). This is great news for New Orleans, as the Saints carry the ball on 45% of their plays, while the Colts only keep the pigskin on the ground 37% of the time. This trend can be found at Bet US.com

S is for Sportsbooks: The Top Ten Best Online Sportsbooks offer the sports bettor the luxury of betting from home and offer bets on the side, total and hundreds of prop bets. If you are betting on the big game, make sure you are using one of these sportsbooks to get the best bonuses from a trusted sportsbook.

T is for Takeaways: The Saints had 39 takeaways, second most in the league behind the Packers’ 40. New Orleans’ 26 interceptions ranked third, and were 11 more than its team total in 2008. This year’s Saints nearly doubled their takeaway total of last season (22).

U is for undrafted: with all the news about the star athletes no one focuses on the players that went unnoticed early in their careers but still play a vital role on the team. The Colts have 19 undrafted players on the team.

V is for Venue: The NFL awarded the 2010 Super Bowl — Super Bowl XLIV — to Miami at Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens. It is the 10th time the city, which last hosted in 2007, will play host to the championship event.

W is for Work Stoppage: The NFL could be on the verge of one of the best games in the history of the sport. Leave it to the league to threaten a work stoppage in 2011.

X is for Xbox 360: The New Orleans Saints pull the upset and march to a victory over the Indianapolis Colts with a score of 35-31 at Super Bowl XLIV, according to the official Electronic Arts simulation run by the award-winning Madden NFL 10 on Xbox 360.

Madden 10 has picked a winner....

Y is for Yards Gained: the record in the super bowl for most yards gained by a running back in one game is 204 by Timmy Smith of Washington. Most yards in one game by a QB is 414 by Kurt Warner, and most yards receiving in one game is by Jerry Rice with 215 in one game.

Z is for Zebras: Referee Scott Green will lead a seven-man crew in officiating Sunday’s Super Bowl XLIV between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints. Green is finishing his 19th season in the NFL. He was a back judge in the 2002 and 2004 Super Bowls. He has been a referee since 2004 and will officiate his 13th playoff game.The other officials are umpire Undrey Wash, head linesman John McGrath, line judge Jeff Seeman, field judge Rob Vernatchi, side judge Greg Meyer and back judge Greg Steed.The crew has a combined 66 years of NFL officiating experience.

That is it the Super bowl from A to Z, so now we are finally ready to enjoy the big game!

Super bowl XLIV Betting Trends: What’s in a Trend?

Superbowl XLIV Sports betting trends

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Any trend bettor will tell you that a sports bettor should look at trends before betting a football game. Trends tell you how teams play in a certain situation and this could lead to backing them in a key situation and cashing the winning ticket. Of course how can you tell when a trend is worthy of a play or just a random coincidence?

Well let’s look at a few for the big game on Sunday.

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Some trends are useless and have no meaning whatsoever like the first trend that I found courtesy of BetUs.com. On Tuesday, Punxsutawney Phil determined that we were set to have six more weeks of winter when he saw his shadow. This will mark three straight years in which winter has been extended. The first two? Both covers for the NFC and for the underdog in the Super Bowl. The one year spring came early was in 2007. That was the year that Indianapolis knocked off Chicago in Super Bowl XLI. From 2001-2006, the groundhog predicted six more weeks of winter weather as well. In those six years, underdogs went 5-1 ATS in the Super Bowl. This trend is a pure coincidence and does not need any further explanation.

Let’s look at performance trends, if you can predict the performances of the players the result will be some excellent trends in your favor.

Peyton Manning throws two TD’s: In games where #18 throws two TD’s or more, Indy went 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS. In fact, if you include the ‘08 season, the Colts are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS in games in which Manning tosses at least two scores.Drew Brees also has a great trend where if he throws for over 300 yards than his team usually wins and covers the number, but wait one minute. Isn’t this obvious? I mean if the QB does well they have a better chance of winning.

Let’s break down the trends for each team and see if any of these can be helpful to the bettor.

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Indianapolis Colts

Colts are 5-0 ATS on grass field

Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Colts are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Colts are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Colts are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Colts are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Colts are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Colts are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.

Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.

Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.

Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
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New Orleans Saints

The Saints are 8-0 ATS vs. AFC

Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.

Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

But wait there is more, what about statistically trends or ones that are just for the super bowls of the past?
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Trends From the Super Bowl

Favorites in the Super Bowl are 30-13 SU and own an ATS mark of 21-19-3 (52.5%). However, over the past eight years, the underdog owns a 6-2 ATS (75.0%) edge. The only two favorites to win and cover in that span were Indy in ’07 and Pittsburgh in ’06.

The straight up winner is 34-6-3 ATS (85%) in the 43 previous Super Bowls, but just 3-3 ATS the past six years.

The NFC holds a 22-21 SU and 22-18-3 (55%) ATS edge all time, and is on a 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS run since Tampa Bay’s win over Oakland in ’03.

#1 seeds from the NFC are on a 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS slide since 2001 in the Super Bowl.

The team that is the higher, or better, playoff seed is just 1-11-2 ATS (8.3%) in the last 14 Super Bowl games! This would be our golden nugget except for the fact that both Indianapolis and New Orleans were #1 seeds out of their respective conferences.

The team with the better record going in to the game is 28-12 SU. (note: three times the teams had identical won-loss marks)

Teams playing in their first Super Bowl against an experienced club are 5-2-1 ATS in their L8.

In terms of scoring, the average winning score is 30.1 PPG, with the average losing score being 15.4 PPG, an average winning margin 14.7 PPG. The Giants of 2008 became the first team in 33 years to win the Super Bowl without hitting the 20-point mark.

There have been 17 previous Super Bowl teams that have failed to reach the 14-point mark. Their record…0-17 SU & ATS (0%).

In a nutshell it is easy to find a trend that favors either team in any game but the key is to find ones that are relevant to the situation and may actually give you an edge in the game. Look closely for a decent trend and make sure it applies and place your wager for Super bowl 44!
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The Truth about Dwight Freeney’s Injury

Story of Dwight Freeney’s Injury Overblown

The biggest news this week as the Superbowl XLIV gets ready to kick off is the injury to star defensive end Dwight Freeney. Everywhere you look this week there is a story of how the injured QB crusher is hurting and how much of a difference it will make in the game this week. Earlier in the week it was announced that the Colts are making plans to play without Freeney. Then it was announced just today that the injury was starting to feel better and Freeney had high hopes of playing in this game. The truth of the matter is there are certain things that you have to realize about this injury and this game that makes this a big story. I have isolated a few factors that will tell you the real story behind this injury.

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1. Superbowl media blows everything out of proportion–when you have two weeks to play a game and something like an injury to a key player pops up its pure gold. Instead of trying to find a nugget about a players grandma or doing a story over and over again this gives the media something to write about and the good news is they could update the story everyday. So barring a player missing the game or a drunken night out by  players this is the best story they are going to have. They can’t talk about Kim Kardashian all week can they?

2. Never trust an injury report–If anyone has actually read and believed in an injury report just before a big game they are crazy. Coaches use these reports to play chess with the other coaches strategies. This way the opposing coach has a game plan with or without Freeney. The Saints are biting on this and that leads me to the status of Dwight Freeney.

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3. Dwight Freeney will play in the Superbowl--whoever thinks he will not play in this game is crazy. He is going to play. He would play through a broken leg and will have enough tape and pain shots to get him through this game. Even the Saints know this: “The fact is, it’s the Super Bowl,” Drew Brees said on Monday. “I know any player would do as much as they could to get on that field. Obviously, he’s a competitor, and we’re expecting him to play. If he doesn’t, he doesn’t. But certainly I feel like they’re coming into this game with all of their ammo.” So the Saints are preparing for him to play and the Colts are too.

4. The Colts need Freeney to play–When Freeney records a sack in a game, the Colts’ winning percentage is 81 percent. He demands double teams and will keep an extra weapon such as RB or TE in the backfield. He takes pressure off Mathis and will put Brees on his back. The Colts may have a shot to win without him but outside #18 he is the MVP for the Colts. The Colts will make sure he is ready to play in this game.

5. Vegas, sportsbooks odds, and the injury–This injury was enough to move money on the Saints. The Colts line went as high as 6 in some places and after the news of the injury spread it was reported that the line dropped to as low as 4.5 matching the opening number. If you believe the Colts will win the Super bowl and want the lowest line possible now is the time to strike. Bet the game at the #1 rated sportsbook Bet Jamaica and get a great line and a great bonus! When you sign up and deposit $100 you get $100 for free!

Get ready for the big game by checking out my Best Prop Picks for Super bowl XLIV and My Top Ten List of best Online Sportsbooks to bet the Super bowl at. Good luck and enjoy the game!

Picking the MVP of Super bowl XLIV

Picking the MVP of Super bowl XLIV

 The big game is finally here!  This weekend the Super bowl will kick off and the championship will be decided. Proposition bets are very popular for this game and although I have already isolated ten prop bets in my latest prop betting article there is one that I wanted to talk about more in-depth. That is the prop bet on who will win the MVP.

 In the game between the Colts and the Saints the offense should play a big role in this game and that would make the quarterbacks easy targets to look at.

 Indianapolis Colts: Peyton Manning -200

If you like Peyton Manning and think he will be the MVP of the Super Bowl then you have to get the line at Bet Phoenix. All of the other sportsbooks that I have looked at have him listed at -250 or as high as -300. If you like him I would get on it now and get him at Bet Phoenix.com. With as many QB’s that have won the superbowl he may be the easiest pick but since he already has won the award I don’t think he will get the award again this year.

 New Orleans Saints: Drew Brees +300

If your going to get a quarterback to win this award why not Drew Brees? He has never won the award and if the Saints win he figures to play a big role in the game. Quarterbacks do well with this award and if the Saints pull off the upset than 3-1 is great value! You can find him at +300 at Just Bet.com and just by signing up you can get a sweet bonus for the big game! 70% free play and with a min dep of $100, free black jack tournament to win super bowl free plays. Other Sportsbooks offer this prop as low as +250 so get the best odds possible at Just bet.com

 The quarterbacks are not the only players to win this award so it is always a good thing to keep an eye out for other players that have game changing ability that could take over the game and win this award. I have found two players that have the ability to make an impact on the game and win the MVP.

 New Orleans Saints: Reggie Bush+1500

Reggie has had flashes of brilliance in the playoffs with and with his explosiveness he can break the big one. Since he returns kicks as well he will get plenty of touches and chances to make his mark on this game. The best part is that you can get him at 15-1 at Bet Jamaica. They are the #1 rated sportsbook on my Top Ten Best online sportsbooks list and are the best in the business. They have plenty of other props but the best price on Reggie Bush to win the MVP.

 Indianapolis Colts: Pierre Garcon +1500

This guy has really made a name for himself this season emerging as a star wide out in the NFL. He is playing with a purpose and with Reggie Wayne getting all of the attention he will get single coverage and be allowed to be open for the big score. Sportsbook.com has him at 15-1 and this is has great value. They also have 300+ sports betting props for the big game on Superbowl Sunday!

Finally with all of the big names out of the way it is time to look for a dark horse to win the MVP. Every now and then someone will win the MVP that plays a unique position or that is not always in the spotlight. The defenses from both teams deserve a look but with the injury to Dwight Freeney I am looking at the Saints. This year my dark horse pick for MVP plays for the

 New Orleans Saints: Darren Sharper +3300

 The odds are steep but that is because it is rare that defense will win this award. Sharper is the leader of this defense and will have plenty of chances to make a play in this pass happy game. He is a veteran and will not be fazed by playing in the big game. Bet Guardian has this prop bet at 33-1 odds which is a very nice figure and much higher than some of the other sportsbooks out there that have 30-1 or less. When you bet on a dark horse you want the odds to be well worth the risk and at Bet Guardian that is exactly what they are.

Best of luck on all of your prop bets and enjoy the big game!

The Best Prop Bets For Super bowl Sunday!

This Sunday is the biggest football game of the year as the Indianapolis Colts face off against the New Orleans Saints in Superbowl XLIV.

This is the time of the year when the proposition bet becomes very popular because it gives the sports bettor more than one way to wager and enjoy the big game. Since this is the most popular sporting event of the year to take wagers on it is no surprise that many online sportsbooks offer hundreds of prop bets every year.

First let’s define what a proposition or a “prop bet” is. Sometimes serious but always good fun, props are unusual betting opportunities that can add a new level of excitement to whatever it is that you’re watching, be it a major celebrity, sports or television event. With the Super bowl the prop bets can vary from bets on the players, or even bets on different sports. Using my list of the Top Ten Best Online rated Sportsbooks I have compiled a list of the Best Prop Bets for Superbowl Sunday!

I will list the prop bet, the way I think the prop should be bet, and the best sportsbook to bet them at. So without any further adieu let’s get to the props for Superbowl XLIV!

10) D Henderson vs P Garcon Most Pass Receiving Yards
Devery Henderson +12 Pass Rec Yds -125
Pierre Garcon -12 Pass Rec Yds -105
Play: Pierre Garcon really became a good WR this season and merged into a go to guy in the AFC Championship game when Wayne was locked down. Henderson can have some big catches for the Saints but it’s time for Garcon to shine motivated by the tragedy in Haiti I will take Garcon -12 receiving yards to cash this prop bet.

9) Will Mike Hart Score a TD in the Game
YES (M Hart Scores a TD) -111
NO (M Hart Doesn’t Score a TD) -111
This is one of my favorite props of the game, unless there is unique situation I don’t see Mike Hart getting a touchdown in this game and I had to scour the online sports books to get this play. He has had just a couple of scores since he has been in the league and was actually cut. To get a player that will have limited playing time on a prop bet is a good play. I will play NO that mike Hart will not score a touchdown.

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8 ) WILL EITHER TEAM MAKE A FIELD GOAL IN THE FIRST QUARTER?
YES- FG IN 1ST Q NO/IND - - +110
NO- FG IN 1ST Q NO/IND - - -130

I know both of these offenses are talented but it’s hard to believe that the defenses will lay down for this game. I believe taking a shot at a FG in the first quarter is safe enough and the price is right at +110. I am taking YES there will be a FG in the first quarter.

7) PASSSING YARDS BY DREW BREES
D BREES TOT PASS YRDS - o265½-175 -
D BREES TOT PASS YRDS - u265½+145
When I saw this prop I almost fell over. Drew Brees should go well over 266 in this game and although it is -175 I am all over this prop bet. I am going to take OVER the 265.5 yards in the Super bowl. Make sure to get this prop bet at Diamond Sportsbook as I have seen it at other sportsbooks posted at 290.5 and higher that is a 25 yards difference!
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6) Most Receiving Yards – Both Players Must Play
Marques Colston +5.5 (-115)
Reggie Wayne -5.5 (-115)

Reggie Wayne is a great wide out for the Colts but Pierre Garcon will be a prime time player and I do believe that Colston will be the deep threat for the Saints and most of that yardage will add up quick. For this prop bet I am taking Colston +5.5 yards to have more receieving yards than Reggie Wayne.

5) Cross sport parlays are always fun and I think I found one for Super bowl Sunday.
Who Will Have More on Feb 6th 2010 – Listed Players Must Play
Lebron James (Cavs) Points (-115)
Colts Points (-115)
What a fun prop bet to play and the fact that James will play on Saturday not Sunday makes this even more interesting. The play is to take James to score more points than the Colts. James always likes to put points up against the Knicks to entice them into a high bid when he is a free agent and he will know of this prop. 50 points is not out of the question for Lebron James.

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4) Team to record the First QB Sack
Saints -105
Colts -125

With the recent injury to Dwight Freeney even if he does play he will not be at 100%. The Saints defense have come out and made a statement saying they will be gunning for Peyton Manning and watched how the jets were able to get to him early. The play is the Saints -105 to get the first sack.

3) Dallas Clark Longest Reception
Over 18½ Receiving Yards -115
Under 18½ Receiving Yards -115

This play is under the 18.5 yards for a reception by Dallas Clark. He will be the underneath receiver with Wayne and Garcon gobbling up all the deep yardage. Sharper will be guarding Clark and he is aggressive. I look for this to stay under 18.5 yards.

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2) A score in the first 7 mins of the 1st Quarter

Yes a score -200
No Score +160
This is a prop that is offered at other sportsbooks but for a play on Yes the juice is as high as 240 at other places so shop around and make sure that you get the lowest price possible. Bet Jamaica at this low price and I was all over it as I will play YES there will be a score in the first 7.5 minutes of the game.

1) Will there be a 2 Point Conversion attempt
Yes +230
No -300

With as many points forecasted to be scored in this game there is a good chance that there will be an opportunity to go for a two point conversion. Most prop ask if a team will convert a two point conversion. This prop bet just needs someone to attempt one and with that I will bet YES at +230 for a team to attempt a 2 point conversion.

These two prop bets are avialble at Bet Jamaica. Bet Jamaica is the #1 sportsbook in my Top Ten Best Online rated Sportsbooks and they have plenty of props to enjoy the big game!

Have fun with prop bets and enjoy the big game. Make sure to play smart and to shop around for the best lines available!

Superbowl XLIV: and the winner is…..

New Orleans Saints

Indianapolis Colts

Super Bowl XLIV

New Orleans vs. Indianapolis, 6:25 ET

On Sunday February 7^th the Colts and the Saints will match up in one of the most anticipated Superbowls of all time as the Peyton Manning led Indianapolis Colts face off against the lovable New Orleans Saints.

Both teams bring great signal callers and an explosive offense to the field, so who will end up victorious when the game is over? I have already made my play on the total and decided whether or not this game will go over or under the total. Many experts have gone over the game and broken down the matchups as they try to figure out who will win on Superbowl Sunday. Now it’s my turn to pick a winner.

There is no question that both of these teams have stellar offenses with two extremely talented quarterbacks.  Arguing over the better one is a waste of time since both Peyton Manning and Drew Brees are more than capable of winning this game. Both offenses have a slew of weapons on the offense and game breakers that can make a big difference in the game, but what about the defenses?

This week the Saints came out and said that they will aggressively seek out and try to hit Peyton Manning. This is the first type of bulletin board material to leak out and the media jumped all over it. They claimed that they want to deliver a few “remember-me” shots. The Colts responded as they always have in the past, like professionals. They refused to comment and instead said they would play just like they always have. Something tells me they will keep those comments in mind on Superbowl Sunday.

The great thing about the big game is when looking to pick a team to cover the spread it is just best to go after the out right winner. Only eight times in 39 years has an outright winner failed to cover the number. The superbowl also offers us a few other bits of history. For example chalk of 3 ½ to 6 ½ points have cashed in eight of 10, cashing tickets at an 80% clip. The Colts have the experience edge as they played in the Superbowl in 2007 and won easily and now return to the same place to try it again.

If you’re a trend player than there are a few out there that deserves a good look. The Colts are 7-0 ATS in the last seven contests that Manning played the whole game. The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, only covering against Arizona in the divisional round. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. There is only one play in this game.

The play for Superbowl XLIV is: Colts -5.5

The Colts have the experience in the big game and seems focused on both sides of the ball. They have the MVP in Peyton Manning and he can defeat any defense and adjust to any scheme. He has a myriad of weapons and should be able to tear apart a Saints defense that ranked low in statistics this season. The Colts defense deserves some credit as they have shut down teams and turned it up another notch in the playoffs shutting down the run and the pass of every team they encountered. The Saints have had trouble when Brees is pressured and the inexperience will be a factor early. The Colts will be able to control the clock and be world champions!

Final: Colts 31 Saints 20

Get the best line possible. The superbowl is the sporting event that receives the most attention when it comes to betting action. Because of that the line will move all over the place between now and kickoff. Before the game kicks off make sure that you have an account at one of the sportsbooks featured on the Top Ten Rankings of the best online sportsbooks. Then shop around for some of the best lines.

Here are a few of the best sportsbooks out there and the lines they currently have on the game.

Sportsbook.com

Current Line: Colts -5.5

BetUS.com

Current Line: Colts -6

Diamond Sportsbook

Current Line: Colts -6 -105

Bet Mania.com

Current Line: Colts -5 -120

Shop around for the best sportsbook with the best line and get a great bonus by signing up right here! Enjoy the game and may all of your bets be winners!

Superbowl XLIV: Is the Best Bet the Over or the Under?

Betting the Total in Superbowl XLIV

Superbowl XLIV is here and this is a superbowl that is making history because the posted total on the game opened at top ranked sportsbooks at 55.5 or higher. That became the highest total to ever open for a superbowl.

Colts defense has been underrated this year.

Earlier this week I posted an article about the superbowls of the past. Superbowl 44 is different from the past superbowls because the game has changed so much over the years with different rules and the athleticism of the players but this total is the same as the AFC/NFC Pro Bowl. The Pro Bowl is a game where the defense does not blitz at all and the oddsmakers are comparing this to the Superbowl?

If you like the over in this game it certainly would make sense. Peyton Manning and Drew Brees lead two very good offenses on the field and there will be plenty of points that will be scored. With that being said I think it is time to dig deeper into this game and take a look at why this total may be set too high.

The oddsmakers had no choice but to set it high because these offenses are just that good. I am going to argue that this is set way too high. The defenses are being disrespected in this contest as all of the attention is focused on the QB’s and the offense. In fact the Saints have come out publicly and said that they will go after Manning and even look to get some hits on him to knock him out. They beat up Warner and Favre so it could happen again.

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The Colts defense has been outstanding and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 games with a total posted this high. They have only let a team score over 27 points three times this year and in the playoffs they allowed an average of ten points a game.

The Saints defense may have limped into the regular season but they found a way to create turnovers and that always will end a good scoring drive. For this game to go over both teams have to score in the mid to high 20’s. This game will not be as high scoring as people think and this should go under the posted total.

Play UNDER the total in Superbowl XLIV–get the latest line HERE

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Using History to Predict the Winner for Superbowl XLIV

Superbowl XLIV: Using the past to predict the future

All of the odds, lines and props are from the list of the Top Ten Online Sportsbooks!

The Superbowl is one of the most celebrated games in history and a history lesson is just what some handicapper’s need when trying to find an angle for betting on the big game.  I would not suggest the history of the game being used exclusively as a tool to handicap the big game but it should be looked at.

This year when the Saints and the Colts hit the field the posted total in the game will be the highest ever in the history of the Superbowl. So in a sense this game is making history. While this can be attributed to the way the game is played today and the athletic prowess of players today as compared to yesteryear it is interesting to note how totals fared of late. Four of the last five Superbowls have gone under the total and some of those games have featured some pretty explosive offenses. It is interesting what the Superbowl trends show for the side as well.

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When it comes to winning on the money line the favorites have led the way over the last decade. In the last 11 superbowl the favorite has won the game outright on the field eight times. It is interesting to note that those favorites were just 4-3-1 against the number in that same time frame. The other interesting factor is that one of those favorites that covered the number in that game was the Indianapolis Colts when they defeated the Bears in Miami in 2007.

Latest odds on the Colts on the moneyline can be found here!

History of the games can also show a trend that may help out in prop betting. For example when betting on who will win the MVP award there are some fascinating trends from the Superbowls of the past. In the last 23 games the hardware was taken home by an offensive player 20 times. The trend would stipulate that taking a defensive player is a long shot. The quarterback was awarded the MVP more than 50% of the time over that same time frame. This would include two out of the last three big games where the Manning family has won the award.

The Top Props betting for the Superbowl can be found here!

They say if you don’t know your history you are doomed to repeat it so looking back at the results of the game may help out along the way when trying to pick a winner. Here is a listing of the Superbowls with the closing lines, results and MVP.

Super Bowl Betting Results – Past Winners and Odds

Super Bowl	Date	Result	Winner’s Line	Total	MVP
XLIII	02/01/09	Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23	-6.5	46.5 Over	Santonio Holmes
XLII	02/03/08	New York Giants 17, New England 14	+12.5	54.5 Under	Eli Manning
XLI	02/04/07	Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17	-6.5	47 Under	Peyton Manning
XL	02/05/06	Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10	-4	47 Under	Hines Ward
XXXIX	02/06/05	New England 24, Philadelphia 21	-7	47 Under	Deion Branch
XXXVIII	02/01/04	New England 32, Carolina 29	-7	38 Over	Tom Brady
XXXVII	01/26/03	Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21	+3.5	44 Over	Dexter Jackson
XXXVI	02/03/02	New England 20, St. Louis 17	+14	53 Under	Tom Brady
XXXV	01/28/01	Baltimore 34, N.Y. Giants 7	-3	33.5 Over	Ray Lewis
XXXIV	01/30/00	St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16	-7	48 Under	Kurt Warner
XXXIII	01/31/99	Denver 34, Atlanta 19	-7.5	51.5 Over	John Elway
XXXII	01/25/98	Denver 31, Green Bay 24	+11.5	49 Over	Terrell Davis
XXXI	01/26/97	Green Bay 35, New England 21	-14	49 Over	Desmond Howard
XXX	01/28/96	Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17	-13.5	52 Under	Larry Brown
XXIX	01/29/95	San Francisco 49, San Diego 26	-18	54 Over	Steve Young
XXVIII	01/30/94	Dallas 30, Buffalo 13	-10.5	50.5 Under	Emmitt Smith
XXVII	01/31/93	Dallas 52, Buffalo 17	-6	45 Over	Troy Aikman
XXVI	01/26/92	Washington 37, Buffalo 24	-7.5	49 Over	Mark Rypien
XXV	01/27/91	N.Y. Giants 20, Buffalo 19	+6.5	40.5 Under	Ottis Anderson
XXIV	01/28/90	San Francisco 55, Denver 10	-11.5	47 Over	Joe Montana
XXIII	01/22/89	San Francisco 20, Cincinnati 16	-7	47.5 Under	Jerry Rice
XXII	01/31/88	Washington 42, Denver 10	+3	47 Over	Doug Williams
XXI	01/25/87	N.Y. Giants 39, Denver 20	-8.5	40.5 Over	Phil Simms
XX	01/26/86	Chicago 46, New England 10	-10	37 Over	Richard Dent
XIX	01/20/85	San Francisco 38, Miami 16	-3.5	53.5 Over	Joe Montana
XVIII	01/22/84	L.A. Raiders 38, Washington 9	+3	48 Under	Marcus Allen
XVII	01/30/83	Washington 27, Miami 17	+3	36.5 Over	John Riggins
XVI	01/24/82	San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 21	-1	48 Under	Joe Montana
XV	01/25/81	Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10	+3	37.5 Under	Jim Plunkett
XIV	01/20/80	Pittsburgh 31, L.A. Rams 19	-10.5	36 Over	Terry Bradshaw
XIII	01/21/79	Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31	-3.5	37 Over	Terry Bradshaw
XII	01/15/78	Dallas 27, Denver 10	-6	39 Under	Randy White, Harvey Martin
XI	01/09/77	Oakland 32, Minnesota 14	-4	38 Over	Fred Biletnikoff
X	01/18/76	Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17	-7	36 Over	Lynn Swann
IX	01/12/75	Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6	-3	33 Under	Franco Harris
VIII	01/13/74	Miami 24, Minnesota 7	-6.5	33 Under	Larry Csonka
VII	01/14/73	Miami 14, Washington 7	+2	33 Under	Jake Scott
VI	01/16/72	Dallas 24, Miami 3	-6	34 Under	Roger Staubach
V	01/17/71	Baltimore 16, Dallas 13	-2.5	36 Under	Chuck Howley
IV	01/11/70	Kansas City 23, Minnesota 7	+12	39 Under	Len Dawson
III	01/12/69	N.Y. Jets 16, Baltimore 7	+18	40 Under	Joe Namath
II	01/14/68	Green Bay 33, Oakland 14	-13.5	43 Over	Bart Starr
I	01/15/67	Green Bay 35, Kansas City 10	-14	N/A	Bart Starr

Best Prop Bet for Superbowl XLIV: Alternate Odds

Best Prop Bet for Superbowl XLIV: Alternate Odds

This will be the start of a series I will do for Best Bets leading up to the big game in Miami. I am documented and ranked #1 in wagering on the NFL this year!

For this installment of Best bets I am going to focus on alternate odds or special lines wagers for the Superbowl. These lines are prop bets found at many online sportsbooks. For the purpose of this article all of the alternate odds that I discuss can be found at Diamond Sportsbook. Diamond Sportsbook is a very safe and reputable sportsbook and they have a wide selection of props for Superbowl XLIV! Sign up using the bonus code: REGAW and get a 40% bonus on your first deposit!

First for those that do not know alternate odd prop bets are exactly what they sound like. Odds that are different from the main ones posted that have a different money line value. This allows the sports bettor to choose the line they want to use based on the team they think will win. The first thing the sports bettor has to do is decide who will win and then from there you can choose your alternate line bet.

If you think the Colts will win look at some of these alternate lines.

(All lines are found at DSI)

Colts -10.5 +180
The odds are a very nice return at almost 2-1 and the Colts have the firepower to cover a number like this. They won both games in the playoffs by more than 10.5 and could take apart this Saints defense.

Colts -14.5 +270
If you like the Colts to win and you think they can cover the 10.5 why not bump it up to the 14.5 and get an even better return of almost 3-1? The superbowls have had their share of blowouts and with this Colts offense the sky is the limit!

If you think the Saints are going to win then these alternate line bets may entice you. (All lines are found at DSI)

Saints -3.5 +280
If you think the Saints are going to win you have to assume it would be by more than 3 points. In that case this wager looks really good. You get almost 3-1 to just have the Saints win by more than a FG.

Saints -7.5 +450
This line is much higher but with returns at almost 5-1 if y9uou think the Saints are going to win it may be worth a play. This team does not settle for FG’s and they will run it up if given the chance.

Regardless of who you think will win the big game putting a wager on the alternate betting lines is a fun way to maximize profit and enjoy the game!

The Top 5 Story Lines for Superbowl XLIV

The Top 5 Story lines for Superbowl XLIV

The interesting thing about the superbowl is that the media has two weeks of storylines to hype up the big game and usually by the time kickoff comes around the public is sick of hearing all the stories and they just want to watch the game.

Here are five headlines that you will hear about (in some cases over and over again) leading up to the big game.

#5 The Manning connections to New Orleans—The Mannings get plenty of attention anyway but it will be increased this week. Not only because Peyton is playing in the big game, but we will be entertained (yawn) with stories of how Archie suffered through New Orleans and stories of Eli and Peyton watching games in New Orleans.

Even the E*Trade baby gets press durning Superbowl week

#4 Superbowl Commercials, Halftimes, and other non related issues—the craziest thing about the superbowl is that it is so big you will hear about everything put leading up to the big game. Talking baby commercials, the Who at the half and Miami parties will also get some attention leading up to kickoff.

#3 Superbowl XLIV, bet on it! The Superbowl is the most bet on event in the world. This week there will be plenty of stories from Las Vegas of line movement, smart money and other news as gamblers look for their favorite proposition bet. See my list of the best Top Ten online sportsbooks and check out the latest line and the most recent prop bets!

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#2 Brett Favre—you didn’t think he was just going to fade off in the sunset did you? There is already a story a day about Brett as the off season soap opera begins. Will he retire or not? We will hear about it everyday until the kickoff and beyond!

#1 all eyes on the quarterbacks—when you have the two best quarterbacks in the league you can expect the media coverage to come fast and furious. It doesn’t help when one of them happens to be Peyton Manning who is part of a family of Quarterbacks (see above). Drew Brees and Peyton will be highlighted all week long.

These two weeks are always long but they seem to get longer when the media reaches for some stories to tell during the weeks leading up to the big game! The game should be a great one but leading up the game could be tough to watch!

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